Published November 2025

Job Outlook 2026

Hiring is flat for Class of 2026 college grads

Our Job Outlook 2026 report shows a cautious recruiting landscape, where employer hiring plans for new college graduates appear to be leveling off. 

Employers continue to value hands-on experience, internships, and career-readiness skills, even as trends like skills-based hiring and AI reshape the entry-level job market.

Explore the data and insights shaping the next recruiting cycle.

Posted November 2025.

Employers give the job market just a “fair” rating. The last time they gave this rating was for the Class of 2021—when their overall hiring projection was also flat.

Signs of an uncertain job market

Employers are projecting a 1.6% increase in hiring for the Class of 2026 when compared to the Class of 2025. This is comparable to the tight labor market employers reported at the end of the 2024-25 recruiting year.

Projected change in number of entry-level college hires
Job market ratings from the past few years

Employers give the job market a “fair” rating

Overall, a plurality of employers—45%—characterized the overall job market for Class of 2026 graduates as “fair.”

The last time the largest group of employers identified the job market as “fair” was in 2021, when 52% rated it as “fair” and the overall hiring projections were also flat.

Recruiters shift more hiring to the spring

A larger percentage of college recruiting is typically conducted in the fall, but the percentage of recruiting taking place in the spring is increasing and stands at 37% for full-time hires and 27% for interns. This suggests some uncertainty on the part of employers. For comparison, in the years prior to the pandemic, nearly three-quarters of recruiting for full-time hires was done in the fall, with the remaining completed in the spring.

Office people in motion.

Employers stress the importance of experiential learning

Employers value experiential education in the candidates they recruit. Nearly all respondents cited U.S.-based internships as valuable, while slightly more than three-quarters find value in co-ops.

In addition, more than 40% of respondents seek candidates with on-campus student work and those with apprenticeships.

Almost 70% of respondents use skills-based hiring

Employer use of skills-based hiring has grown over the last year, with nearly 70% now saying they are using it.

Skills-based hiring

How can students demonstrate their skills during a skills-based hiring process?

Employers point out that the top way students can demonstrate skills in preparation for interviews is to plan to share examples and situations when they used their skills to solve problems.

Employers also reiterated the importance of experiential learning and/or work during college and being able to tie their college coursework and extracurricular activities to professional skills.

Jobs that now require you to have AI skills

13.3%

Entry-level job posts that now require AI skills

10.5%

Get the full report

The Job Outlook 2026 report is the definitive source on employer hiring projections for new college graduates.

Complete the form to access the findings, including trends in hiring intentions, salary expectations, and the growing role of skills-based evaluation.

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Job Outlook 2026

About the Job Outlook 2026 Survey

The annual Job Outlook survey is a forecast of employer’s hiring intentions of new college graduates. Data for the Job Outlook 2026 survey were collected from August 7, 2025, through September 22, 2025. Data are calculated based on the number of respondents to each specific question. Totals may not equal 100% due to rounding.

NACE expects to provide a formal job market update during the 2025-26 academic year. Based on data collected in February and March, the Job Outlook 2026 Spring Update report will provide a final update on hiring for 2025-26 graduates. The results will be available in early April.

NACE researchers on this project

Shawn VanDerziel

Shawn VanDerziel

President & CEO, NACE

Mary Gatta

Mary Gatta

Director of Research and Public Policy, NACE

Andrea Koncz

Andrea Koncz

Senior Research Manager, NACE